I've seen other questions on here about the fact that we shouldn't push for Team Velocity/Capacity to increase. That being said, we have a mandate from Leadership to try and make that happen.
We calculate team velocity at the beginning of every quarter based on the previous quarter's sprint metrics. We also track a "Say/Do" metric, which essentially is just a percentage of committed points vs completed points.
With that, does anyone have suggestions on how to use the Say/Do calculation to determine if we should increase/decrease capacity?
I'm thinking something along the lines of:
avg(s1, s2, s3, s4, s5) * (5% + (avg(sd1, sd2, sd3, sd4, sd5)))
Which would see us automagically decrease velocity if we missed the committed metrics, and increase the velocity if we continually hit the metrics.