As you will see, I'm completely new to PM.
I have to write 100,000 words in 6 months. Let's say that is 548 words/day. I would like to know how to calculate a daily target of words needed to complete on time. What method do I use to calculate this moving target based on my performance in each previous week while spreading out/smoothing(?) the required load over the next week in order to avoid difficult peaks in demand and still reach my target?
To add further complexity, how would I control the daily rate/smoothing based on the average velocity achieved in the previous week?
Sorry I cannot describe this in statistical/PM terminology, I simply couldn't find the name of this function/problem/method.